Monday, March 14, 2011

Mcx Market Tips


Gold prices edged higher on stronger demand for safe-haven assets, while platinum and palladium tumbled as Japanese car makers shut production in the wake of a massive natural disaster. Gold benefited from heightened uncertainty as Japan scrambled to avert a meltdown at a stricken nuclear plant on Monday after a hydrogen explosion at one reactor and exposure of fuel rods at another. 

Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 55.88, where as 50DMA is at 20579.28 and gold is trading above the same and getting support at 20938 and below could see a test of 20878 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 21066, a move above could see prices testing 21134.

Trading Ideas:
Gold trading range is 20878-21134.
Gold prices edged higher on stronger demand for safe-haven assets
Spdr gold trust holdings fell by 1.83 tonnes to 1213.65 tonnes
ETF Securities: Gold-backed ETCs boosted by $250m in past 4 weeks

Silver ended slightly weak but recover almost all of its losses on brisk buying for seasonal demand, amid a firm global trend. Silver recovered near to the peak level as trading sentiments bolstered after precious metals came in demand in the global market in the aftermath of Japan's strongest earthquake and intensifying violence in Libya. Silver's pattern remains bullish however it will need a catalyst to push it above the recent 54500 high. With the RSI at just 70, there is still room before the metal reaches overbought levels and we would not be surprised to see another push higher. 

Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 70.05, where as 50DMA is at 47679.4 and silver is trading above the same and getting support at 53621 and below could see a test of 53268 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 54336, a move above could see prices testing 54698.

Trading Ideas:
Silver trading range is 53268-54698.
Silver ended slightly weak but recover almost all of its losses on brisk buying for seasonal demand
Silver is having resistance at 54335 and support at 53620 level.
In spot silver looks to hold support at 35.20$ and resistance at 35.88$

Crude oil ended nearly flat as concerns of a drop in Japan's economic activity weighed against views that additional oil products will be needed to generate electricity in the country. Worries about lower demand from Japan after last week's devastating earthquake limited the day's gains. Libya's National Oil Corporation has called on employees to return to work at oil installations and hoped oil production can soon increase. Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers have increased production, partly to offset the drop in Libyan exports. 

Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 55.97, where as 50DMA is at 4316.56 and crude is trading above the same and getting support at 4481 and below could see a test of 4418 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 4582, a move above could see prices testing 4620.

Trading Ideas:
Crude trading range is 4418-4620.
Crude oil ended nearly flat as concerns of a drop in Japan's economic activity weighed
Crude looks to test support at 4481 and resistance is seen at 4582.
Saudi Arabia and other OPEC producers have increased production, partly to offset the drop in Libyan exports

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Shyam Advisory


Currently, Domestic commodities markets are trading with negative note. All the indices are showing downward trend on Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). At MCX futures, MCXCOMDEX is trading at 3,557.27 (down by 0.21%), MCXMETAL is trading at 4,470.55 (down by 0.17%), MCXENERGY is trading at 3,336.74 (down by 0.03%), and MCXAGRI is trading at 2,881.14 (down by 0.83%). (At 05:27 PM today).

At NCDEX, the Dhaanya, an agri commodity index, closed at 1,113.32, up by 0.15% (At 05:00 PM today).

Potato futures prices advanced in the domestic market due to firm spot demand in order to meet the ongoing marriage season demand in India. March future surged by Rs. 17.8, or 2.48%, to Rs. 732.80 per 100 kgs, while April future climbed by Rs. 26.7, or 3.99%, to Rs. 732.80 per 100 kgs on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) today. Moreover, restricted fresh arrivals from the major producing regions also kept the futures prices in positive zone.

At Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), potato future for March contract closed at Rs. 728.80 per 100 kgs, up by 1.93%, after opening at Rs. 718.30 against the previous close price of Rs. 715.00. It touched the intra-day high of 732.80. (At 05:00 PM today).

The top gainers at MCX are Potato for April contract (3.65%), Potato for May contract (3.14%), Potato for March contract (1.93%), Natural gas for March contract (1.77%) and Potato TRWR for May contract (1.69%). (At 05:23 PM today).

The top losers at MCX are Kapas for April contract (-4.00%), Nickel for May contract (-3.59%), Nickel for March contract (-3.18%), Nickel for April contract (-3.11%) and Wheat for April contract (-3.00%). (At 05:22 PM today).

The top gainers at NCDEX are Natural gas for March contract (4.00%), Potato for March contract (4.00%), Potato for June contract (4.00%), Potato for May contract (3.8%) and Potato for July contract (3.8%). (At 05:20 PM today).

The top losers at NCDEX are Nickel for March contract (-8.3%), Kapas for March contract (-4.00%), Kapas for April contract (-4.00%), Castor seed for May contract (-3.8%) and Castor seed for April contract (-3.7%). (At 05:18 PM today).

Base metals fell in the local non-ferrous market today due to tracking weak global cues. Trading sentiments also weakened on the back of profits booking by the speculators on subdued industrial demand. Nickel future for March contract fell as much as 4.41% to Rs. 1,187.70 per kg on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). While, Zinc future for March contract dropped 3.40% to Rs, 104.85, and Lead for March contract dropped 2.01% to Rs. 114.55 per kg on MCX.

By Shyam Advisory : At Shyam Advisory (SA), Nickel future for three month delivery fell 2.5% to $26,803 a ton, while Zinc declined 0.2% to $2,553 a ton on speculation that persisting unrest in Libya will hamper the global economic growth, reducing demand for industrial metals. Moreover, lead for three month delivery also dropped 1.7% to $2,340 a ton at LME.

Moreover, the concern about rising inflation due to higher crude oil price, traded above $100 per barrel, increased the speculation that China and European Union will tight the monetary policy in order to curb the inflation. Therefore, any tightening of monetary policy further by the People Bank of China and ECB could create a downward risk over base metals as demand for industrial metals will slowdown.